Masthead graphic based on a painting by Gudrun Thriemer.

Wednesday, November 21, 2007

"Stumbling into Chaos: Afghanistan on the brink," Senlis Council, November 21, 2007.

The security situation in Afghanistan has reached crisis proportions. The Taliban's ability to establish a presence throughout the country is now proven beyond doubt; exclusive research undertaken by Senlis Afghanistan indicates that 54 per cent of Afghanistan’s landmass hosts a permanent Taliban presence, primarily in southern Afghanistan, and is subject to frequent hostile activity by the insurgency.

The Taliban are the de facto governing authority in significant portions of territory in the south and east, and are starting to control parts of the local economy and key infrastructure such as roads and energy supply. The insurgency also exercises a significant amount of psychological control, gaining more and more political legitimacy in the minds of the Afghan people who have a long history of shifting alliances and regime change.

Full report in English (2,42 Mb, PDF)

See also Afghanistan Conflict Monitor.

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The Mound of Sound said...

Wait until the other shoe drops. That'll be when the Uzbek, Hazara and Tajik warlords rise up and you can expect that the minute they conclude that Karzai can't resist the Taliban. Then we'll be back to the pre 9/11 civil war only with everybody so much fresher and better armed. Of course NATO could decide to add the northern warlords to its designated enemy list and then we'd be fighting the entire damned country! Brilliant, eh?